Modern Portfolio Theory TSX 60 Index Canadian Equity Portfolio

TSX 60 Portfolio Optimization (MPT)

How ClearLedger Analytics optimizes a TSX 60 equity portfolio by adjusting asset weights to maximize risk‑adjusted efficiency.

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Includes current holdings, risk-return modeling, active allocation constraints, and full technical results.

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Scenario Overview

This demonstration shows how a TSX 60 portfolio’s return and risk profile changes when its weights are optimized using Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT).

ClearLedger Analytics does not select stocks or make market predictions — it identifies the most efficient mix of the holdings you already own to maximize performance.

Understanding Weight Adjustments

ClearLedger adjusts weights, not individual securities. Optimization can increase expected return, reduce risk, or improve both simultaneously across the overall portfolio.

Signal Interpretation: Buy/Hold/Sell signals are mathematical weight‑adjustment permissions used to move your portfolio toward the efficient frontier.

How ClearLedger Analytics Performs TSX 60 Optimization

ClearLedger Analytics evaluates a TSX 60 portfolio using a full variance‑covariance matrix constructed from the selected time horizon. Each security’s variance, covariance, and correlation contributes directly to the portfolio’s aggregate risk profile.

Mathematical Framework & Constraints

The engine builds the efficient frontier by solving a constrained quadratic optimization problem. Weight limits, diversification rules, and risk‑adjusted targets ensure the resulting asset mix remains realistic and practical to execute. Read more about how ClearLedger optimizes portfolio weights.

Directional Signals (Buy / Hold / Sell)

Directional signals act as mathematical permissions inside the solver:

  • Buy — The optimizer is permitted to increase position weight up to defined maximum boundaries when mathematically favorable.
  • Sell — The optimizer is permitted to reduce exposure down to minimum thresholds to mitigate systemic or uncompensated risk.
  • Hold — The position is restricted to a narrow target band around its existing weight.

Handling Concentration & Sector Clustering

Because TSX 60 constituents often exhibit heavy sector concentration and correlation clustering, the optimizer frequently trims overweight positions in highly correlated large-cap assets while reallocating capital into lower‑correlation components.

This strategic rebalancing shifts all metrics simultaneously — driving the structural improvements displayed in the technical summary below.

Tracing Metric Drivers & Variance Across the Model

To answer how performance and risk shifts are achieved and audited, the model breaks down performance via security-level attribution across all core metrics:

  • Security-Level Attribution: Located in the engine sheet under the Variances and metrics blocks, individual asset columns isolate how specific holdings contribute to aggregate portfolio variance, expected return, and risk-adjusted efficiency based on their weight and covariance interactions.
  • Key Portfolio Drivers: High-impact leaders—such as Celestica Inc. (CLS.TO), Imperial Oil (IMO.TO), and Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH.TO)—anchor the optimization by driving the largest positive expected return shifts when allocation weights are rebalanced toward efficient targets.
  • Matrix Interactivity ($w^T \Sigma w$): Rather than relying on guesswork, the spreadsheet computes portfolio variance and risk metrics dynamically, letting you audit how shifting an individual holding's weight scales its marginal contribution to the portfolio's aggregate profile.

Total Portfolio Technical Summary

Metric Current Optimized Change
Expected Return (ExpR) 0.1910 0.3200 +0.1290
Portfolio Risk 0.1320 0.1160 ‑0.0160
Sharpe Ratio 0.9340 2.1350 +1.2010
Alpha 0.1198 0.2360 +0.1162
Beta 0.6096 0.4298 ‑0.1798
Correlation 0.3920 0.2963 ‑0.0957
Actual vs Expected Return 0.1572 0.1888 +0.0316
Benchmark Gap 5.7100 8.8700 +3.1600

Every metric improves because the optimizer targets total portfolio risk-adjusted efficiency rather than individual stock selection.